Abortion rights lead in early supply returns, while sports betting and EV subsidies lag behind

The Californians voted after the end of Roe v. Wade overwhelmingly voted to enshrine reproductive rights in the state constitution, but moves to allow sports betting and tax the wealthy to subsidize electric vehicles fell short of early returns.

Proposal 1

It is likely that voters will pass a measure adding abortion and contraceptive rights to California’s constitution with nearly 70% approval. Paragraph 1 will amend the Constitution to explicitly include the individual’s fundamental right to reproductive freedom, including the right to choose abortion and contraception. The proposal was drafted by state lawmakers, including Senate President Pro Tem Toni Atkins, D-San Diego, after the US Supreme Court Roe v. Wade had overridden. The approval of Prop. 1 will make it very difficult for a future conservative legislature to take away reproductive rights, as is happening in many southern states. But it wouldn’t stop Congress from banning abortion, as some Republicans have suggested.

Suggestions 26 and 27

The dueling sports betting measures on the ballot prove unpopular in early results. Prop. 26 favors existing Indian casinos by requiring sports betting to take place there or at racetracks, while Prop. 27 allows betting both in casinos and online through companies such as FanDuel, DraftKings and BetMGM. Support 27 receives fewer “Yes” votes than Support 26. Support 27 lags behind by 68%, the largest lead of any voting proposal, while Support 26 lags behind by over 40 points.

Proposal 28

Early feedback shows that 63.1% of voters support full-time arts and music programs in California public schools. Prop. 28, led by former Los Angeles principal Austin Beutner, would allocate $1 billion annually from the state’s general fund to ensure arts and music education at all K-12 public schools, including charter schools.

Proposal 29

The passage of Prop. 29 regulating the staffing of kidney dialysis clinics is unlikely as early returns lag by 40 points. The action may sound familiar to you as it is the third time that the Service Employees International Union-United Health Care Workers West has attempted a ballot measure to pressure the kidney dialysis industry in an organizational struggle. The measure would force each center to have a doctor and nurse on site at all times, dramatically increasing costs. If this measure fails, the union wants to finance a fourth attempt.

proposal 30

Early feedback shows that 57.5% of voters are not in favor of imposing a new tax on high-income California residents and using the money to help lower-income residents buy zero-emission vehicles. Some of the money would also be used for more charging stations for vehicles and to prevent wildfires. Specifically, an additional state tax of 1.75% would be imposed on income of $2 million or more.

Proposal 31

California voters are 65.2% in favor of maintaining the state law banning the sale of flavored tobacco. Senate Bill 793, which would ban the in-store sale of most flavored tobacco products, passed lawmakers in 2020 with just one dissenting vote. However, a referendum backed by the tobacco industry made it through to the 2022 ballot. The “yes” vote keeps the law in place and “no” would overturn it.

The broad coalition of public health advocates, doctors and parents who support Prop. 31 declared victory shortly after the polls closed.

“In California’s fight against Big Tobacco, voters overwhelmingly chose to protect children from being lured into a lifelong nicotine addiction,” said Lindsey Freitas, Regional Advocacy Director, Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids. “By preventing tobacco companies from using candy flavors to attract another generation of children, Proposition 31 will save countless lives for years to come. And it sets a strong example for other states and cities, as well as for the FDA, which has proposed statewide regulations banning menthol cigarettes and flavored cigars.”


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