Patriots vs. Bears Odds, Line, Spread: Monday Night Football Tips, NFL Model Prediction on 146-107 Throw

The Chicago Bears will be looking to get their offense going when they visit Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots on Monday Night Football. The Bears (2-4) started the season 2-1 but have stalled. They played football in Week 6 on Thursday night, losing to the Commanders 12-7 after failing in four plays from the five-yard line in the last minute. New England (3-3) has won back-to-back games while amassing 67 points against the Lions and Browns, and rookie Bailey Zappe has made admirable use as quarterback. Regular starter Mac Jones is expected to be ready this week after missing time with an ankle injury. The Patriots are 10-4 all-time against the Bears and have won five straight games, including a 38-31 away win at the last meeting in 2018.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Caesars Sportsbook lists New England as an 8.5-point favorite in its latest Patriots vs. Bears odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 40. Before Get all the Bears vs. Patriots picks and see Be sure to check out the SportsLine projection model for NFL predictions and betting advice.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has won nearly $7,000 for $100 players with top-tier NFL picks since its inception. The model kicked off Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 146-107 run of top-flight NFL picks that stretches back to the 2017 season.

The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch in four of the last six years with straight NFL picks, beating more than 94% of CBS Sports football pick ’em players four times in that span. Whoever followed it is way up.

Now the model has set its sights on Patriots vs. Bears and just laid down its picks and MNF predictions. You can now visit SportsLine to see the model selection. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Bears vs. Patriots:

  • Distribution Patriots vs. Bears: New England -8.5
  • Patriots vs. Bears Over/Under: 40 points
  • Patriots vs. Bears moneyline: Chicago +300, New England -385
  • Bears: Bears are 5-7-1 ATS after one loss since the start of last season
  • Patriots: Patriots are 3-1 ATS in their last four with a remainder disadvantage
  • Patriots vs. Bears tips: See tips at SportsLine

Featured Game | New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears

Why the Patriots can mark

New England had success against young quarterbacks under Bill Belichick. The quarterbacks in their first two seasons are 5-35 against the coach’s defense, and Bears quarterback Justin Fields is struggling. He only completes 55 percent of his passes and has five interceptions on four TD passes. He was released 23 times from 138 drop backs. That means the Patriots can take on the run and get the sophomore to beat them. Chicago is 31st in the league in scoring (15.5 points per game) and 28th in total yards (293.5).

The Bears have also lost nine straight games in prime time and never won in New England (0-4). Offensively, New England should be able to successfully run with the ball. The Patriots rank 10th in the league in rushing (131 yards per game) while Chicago ranks 29th in rushing defense (163). Rhamondre Stevenson had 161 rushing yards and 448 for the season in Week 5 against the Lions, while Damien Harris has 257 on 57 carries. Both have three touchdowns and average at least 4.5 yards per carry. The Bears allow 4.8 yards per carry, 24th in the NFL. See which team you should pick here.

Why the bears can cover

Underdogs are 54-37-2 against the spread this season, and underdogs with four or more points are 31-16 ATS. Chicago is second in rushing at nearly 171 yards per game, and stopping the run is a weakness for New England. In fact, the Patriots allow 119 rushing yards per game, ranked 17th in the NFL.

Khalil Herbert had a 64-yard rush in Week 6 while Fields rushed for 88 yards and David Montgomery for 67. Herbert (402 yards) is pushing Montgomery (246) for carries and averaging 6.4 yards per attempt. New England delivers 4.7 per rush (22nd). The Chicago defense has playmakers, including linebacker Roquan Smith, who has two sacks, and safety Eddie Jackson, who has three interceptions and two forced fumbles. The Patriots have 11 turnovers and rank 29th in the league. See which team you should pick here.

How to make Patriots vs. Bears picks

SportsLine’s model leans over the score. In fact, it claims 46 combined points. It also states that one of the spreads is accurate well over 50% of the time. The model’s MNF picks are only available from SportsLine.

So who will win Bears vs. Patriots in Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread applies well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bears vs. Patriots spread you can jump to and find out.


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